CYBER SECURITY: Tips for Preventing Fraud

From Charles Schwab Advisor Services:

Cybercrime and fraud are serious threats and constant vigilance is key. While my firm plays an important role in helping protect your assets, you can also take action to protect yourself and help secure your information. This checklist summarizes common cyber fraud tactics, along with tips and best practices. Many suggestions may be things you’re doing now, while others may be new. We also cover actions to take if you suspect that your personal information has been compromised. If you have questions, we’re here to help.

Cyber criminals exploit our increasing reliance on technology. Methods used to compromise a victim’s identity or login credentials – such as malware, phishing, and social engineering – are increasingly sophisticated and difficult to spot. A fraudster’s goal is to obtain information to access to your account and assets or sell your information for this purpose. Fortunately, criminals often take the path of least resistance. Following best practices and applying caution when sharing information or executing transactions makes a big difference. 

Let's Work Together to Protect Your Information & Assets

Safe practices for communicating with our firm:

  • Keep us informed regarding changes to your personal information.

  • Expect us to call you to confirm email requests to move money, trade, or change account information.

  • Establish a verbal password with our firm to confirm your identity, or request a video chat.

How Schwab Protects Your Account:

Schwab takes your security seriously and leverages protocols and policies to help protect your financial assets. Below are actions you can take to reinforce their efforts and resources to assist you in keeping your account safe:

  • Confirm your identity using Schwab’s voice ID service when calling the Schwab Alliance team for support.

  • Use two-factor authentication, which requires you to enter a unique code each time you access your Schwab accounts.

  • Review the Schwab Security Guarantee, which covers 100% of any losses in any of your Schwab accounts due to unauthorized activity.

To learn more, visit Schwab’s Client Learning Center.

 

What You Can Do

  • Be aware of suspicious phone calls, emails, and texts asking you to send money or disclose personal information. If a service rep calls you, hang up and call back using a known phone number.

  • Never share sensitive information or conduct business via email, as accounts are often compromised.

  • Beware of phishing and malicious links. Urgent-sounding, legitimate-looking emails are intended to tempt you to accidentally disclose personal information or install malware.

  • Don’t open links or attachments from unknown sources. Enter the web address in your browser.

  • Check your email and account statements regularly for suspicious activity.

  • Never enter confidential information in public areas. Assume someone is always watching.

Exercise caution when moving money.

  • Leverage our electronic authorization tool to verify requests. Featuring built-in safeguards, this is the fastest and most secure way to move money.

  • Review and verbally confirm all disbursement request details thoroughly before providing your approval, especially when sending funds to another country. Never trust wire instructions received via email.

Adhere to strong password principles.

  • Don’t use personal information as part of your login ID or password and don’t share login credentials.

  • Create a unique, complex password for each website, Change it every six months. Consider using a password manager to simplify this process.

Maintain updated technology.

  • Keep your web browser, operating system, antivirus, and anti-spyware updated, and activate the firewall.

  • Do not use free/found USB devices. They may be infected with malware.

  • Check security settings on your applications and web browser. Make sure they’re strong.

  • Turn off Bluetooth when it’s not needed.

  • Dispose of old hardware safely by performing a factory reset or removing and destroying all storage data devices.

Use caution on websites and social media.

  • Be cautious when accepting “friend” requests on social media, liking posts, or following links.

  • Limit sharing information on social media sites. Assume fraudsters can see everything, even if you have safeguards.

  • Do not visit websites you don’t know, (e.g., advertised on pop-up ads and banners).

  • Log out completely to terminate access when exiting all websites.

  • Don’t use public computers or free Wi-Fi. Use a personal Wi-Fi hotspot or a Virtual Private Network (VPN).

  • Hover over questionable links to reveal the URL before clicking. Secure websites start with “https,” not “http.”

 

What to do if You Suspect a Breach

  • Call your Advisor or service team so that they can watch for suspicious activity on your accounts and collaborate with you on other steps to take.

Learn more

Visit these sites for more information and best practices:

2021 Mid Year Update - Event Recap

On Wednesday, July 14th 2021, Gilbert & Cook Private Wealth Management welcomed guests to a timely discussion on the economy and recent updates in various financial planning topics and considerations. Gilbert & Cook Founder & Advisor, Linda Cook, moderates a panel of professionals as they discuss the 2021 economic outlook, the current state of the market and current event topics and considerations within the financial planning industry.


QUESTIONS & ANSWERS

Q&A - When does inflation become important to our economic outlook?

Answered by Gilbert & Cook's Chief Investment Strategist, Chris Cook, CPA, CFA


Q&A - How do we look behind the headlines when it comes to politics and corporate tax rate?

Answered by Gilbert & Cook's Chief Investment Strategist, Chris Cook, CPA, CFA


Q&A - How do we separate facts from fiction?

Answered by Gilbert & Cook’s Chief Investment Strategist, Chris Cook, CPA, CFA


Q&A - What is your opinion on the mortgage rates? Are they here to stay?

Answered by Gilbert & Cook's Chief Investment Officer, Brandon Grimm, MBA, CFA.


Q&A - When is our federal deficit going to overwhelm our economy?

Answered by Gilbert & Cook’s Chief Investment Strategist, Chris Cook, CPA, CFA

Disclosure: This event is meant for informational purposes only. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of the authors as of the date of publication and are subject to change. Gilbert & Cook, Inc. does not offer tax or legal advice. You should consult with an attorney for legal advice and a qualified tax professional for tax advice. Gilbert & Cook, Inc. is a Registered Investment Adviser. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Gilbert & Cook, Inc. and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. No advice may be rendered by Gilbert & Cook, Inc. unless a client services agreement is in place.

New Service Offering! Gilbert & Cook Presents, Retirement Plan Solutions

Create a Comprehensive Retirement Plan for Your Business & Your Team.

No one knows your business like you do. However, there are elements to running a successful business, that have little to do with the core business you’re managing - but are still critically important to your overall long-term success.

Your company retirement plan is a perfect example.

You know you need excellent benefits in order to attract, reward and retain exceptional employees. You know that you need to keep these benefits costs reasonable and under control. You also know that you don’t want the complexities of monitoring this program taking up your valuable work time.

The Gilbert & Cook team has developed a comprehensive process, built around bringing clarity to the many choices you face and providing you with confidence in making financial decisions for your business and the individuals and families you support.

Led by Retirement Advisors, Jerit Tripp & Jarret Sheets, Gilbert & Cook’s Retirement Plan Services provide businesses with customized suite of services to contribute to the success of your company’s retirement plan.

Contact a Gilbert & Cook Advisor today, to get a complimentary Second Opinion on your situation.

Tax Filing Season is a Little Later This Year

What to know and dates to remember.

Recently, the Internal Revenue Service (I.R.S.) announced that tax season will start a little later than usual. This year the I.R.S. will begin accepting and processing 2020 individual tax returns on Friday, February 12, 2021. (1)

In light of the December 27 tax law changes which brought a second round of Economic Impact Payments and other benefits to many, the I.R.S. will use this additional time to update, program, and test their systems. (1)

However, if you intend to work with a tax professional or use tax software, there's no need to wait. If you prepare your return now, not only will you have your taxes done and out of the way, but your filings can be transmitted to the I.R.S. starting February 12. (1)

Even with this new date in mind, your deadline to file is still April 15. To request an extension, make sure you do so by April 15. This may grant you until October 15 to file your 2020 tax returns. However, this is an extension for filing only. The I.R.S. still requires you to pay any taxes due by the original filing date of April 15. (1)

Filing one’s tax returns can be a complicated and sometimes daunting process. If you have questions regarding your personal situation, please consult your CPA or a licensed tax professional.

Want More? Click here to download a “2021 Tax Guide” to help prepare for the upcoming tax season.


1 - IRS.gov, January 15, 2021

Disclosure: Gilbert & Cook, Inc. does not provide tax or legal advice. For advice regarding your individual tax situation please consult with a licensed tax professional.

2021 is Off to a Fast Start!

Economic Update - written January 25th 2021

Ready… Set… Go!

The stock market’s first hurdle of the New Year was to assess the runoff elections happening for the two Senate seats in Georgia. A special election such as this has only happened a handful of other times in our nation’s history, so the market appeared anxious about the process.

The market’s second hurdle was the electoral college count that would confirm Joe Biden as the 46th president of the United States. A protest during the vote count unnerved investors, and most of the New Year’s rally was undone. However, just one day later the market climbed higher as traders looked past the unrest.

Stocks Scale New Heights

Midway into the 1st month of the new year stocks rallied. Testimony from incoming Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen raised hopes for a new round of federal spending when she suggested to the Senate Finance Committee that lawmakers should “act big” on fiscal stimulus.

An orderly presidential transition and the anticipation of a more effective vaccine distribution plan contributed to stocks touching multiple new highs this month. Investor enthusiasm was further supported by a strong start to the fourth-quarter earnings season.

What does this fast-paced market activity mean for investors?

There will always be a lot of noise. But remember, making a change to your portfolio should be driven by sound analysis and preparation. Reacting impulsively to market volatility can compromise the return of your portfolio and your overall financial plan. As Advisors we have come to expect the volatility that comes along with investing and have anticipated these trends as we developed your overall financial strategy.

If you have any questions about your personal financial situation, please reach out to a member of your Gilbert & Cook Abundance Team.

Economic Update - 12/24/20

A rollout for a COVID-19 vaccine led to a positive reaction from the markets, and stimulus talks continue.

YEAR-END ECONOMIC STIMULUS BILL

On Monday, December 21st, congress passed legislation which offers a wide range of help, both for individuals and for struggling elements of the economy - including direct payments, enhanced unemployment benefits and tax breaks. Here are a few highlights of what’s inside the massive year-end compromise:

$166 billion in direct checks - Individuals making up to $75,000 a year will receive a payment of $600, while couples making up to $150,000 will receive $1,200, in addition to $600 per child.

$120 billion in extra unemployment help - Jobless workers will get an extra $300 per week in federal cash through March 14.

$325 billion small business boost - Pandemic-ravaged small businesses would see a total of $325 billion, including $284 billion in loans through the Paycheck Protection Program, $20 billion for businesses in low-income communities and $15 billion for struggling live venues, movie theaters and museums.

Tax Benefits - The legislation allows businesses to deduct expenses associated with their forgiven PPP loans, in addition to expanding the employee retention credit intended to prevent layoffs. The package rolls over a variety of temporary tax breaks known as “extenders” - some for multiple years. It also extends a payroll tax subsidy for employers offering workers paid sick leave and boosts the Earned Income Tax Credit.

 

WALL STREET

Stocks climbed higher amid the COVID-19 vaccine rollout and an improving outlook after a fiscal stimulus bill.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which has lagged all year, gained 0.44%. The Standard & Poor’s 500 picked up 1.25% while the Nasdaq Composite index surged 3.05%. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, rose 2.44%. (1,2,3) 

 

STOCKS CLIMB HIGHER

In a week that celebrated the national rollout of a COVID-19 vaccine, market enthusiasm was tempered by worries of infection caseload and fresh economic lockdowns.

Investors turned their focus to the fiscal stimulus negotiations in Washington, D.C., with the hope that a relief bill may be the bridge that gets the economy over its near-term troubles until vaccine distribution grows more widespread.

These negotiations were not smooth sailing. When a compromise bill appeared to gather support, markets quickly moved higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and NASDAQ Composite all setting new record high closes on Thursday. (4) Stocks slipped in the final day of trading as stimulus hopes wavered. 

 

FED OUTLOOK ON THE ECONOMY IMPROVES

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday concluded its last meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee for 2020. Fed officials provided more detail for its monthly bond purchase program and reiterated their commitment to a monthly purchase of $120 billion of Treasury and mortgage-back securities until its inflation and employment goals are met. (5) 

The Federal Reserve also raised its outlook on the U.S. economy. It revised its September forecast of a 3.7% decline in GDP in 2020 to a 2.4% decline, and increased its 2021 GDP growth forecast from 4.0% to 4.2%. It also expects unemployment at 2020 year-end would fall to 6.7%, substantially lower than its earlier estimate of 7.6%. (6) 


CITATIONS:

1. The Wall Street Journal, December 18, 2020

2. The Wall Street Journal, December 18, 2020

3. The Wall Street Journal, December 18, 2020

4. CNBC, December 17, 2020

5. The Wall Street Journal, December 16, 2020

6. CNBC, December 16,2020

Advice for Managing Your Portfolio in 2021

By: Chris Cook, CPA, CFA
Gilbert & Cook, Chief Investment Strategist

My advice for managing your portfolio in 2021 is a lot like my advice was in 2002 and 2009.  And no, I am NOT going to tell you to “stay the course”.  I am going to advise that you CHART the course under the calmest of mindset that you can conjure up amid elections and Covid.

Periods of stress change our thinking.  Human beings change their mind, second guess, feel regret, and feel blame.  So, on a Sunday afternoon, with no screens going and no markets open, set a 10-year course you can stay true to.  Balance your 10+ year optimism, (and yes you should have some) with your near-term needs.  Two main reasons individual investors fail in times of extreme pessimism as well as extreme optimism is the extrapolation of current events into the future.  Things will be bad/good forever.  We do not want to be a forced seller or lose our nerve at the bottom of the market in March of 2020.  This period of stress, like those before it, has retaught those lessons.

If you have any questions regarding your personal financial situation, please don't hesitate to call a member of our Gilbert & Cook team at 515.270.6444 or email info@gilbertcook.com

Election 2020 - A Dose of Patience

The upcoming election is prompting some people to reconsider their investment strategy. But if history is any guide, patience may be the answer.

For the past 12 presidential elections, the Standard & Poor’s 500 index has notched a 4% gain, on average, in the 90 days after the election. (1) 

Of course, past performance does not guarantee results. And there have been some notable exceptions to the trend. In 2008, for example, the S&P 500 dropped more than 10% in the three months following the election as the global financial crisis gripped the markets. And in 2000, the S&P 500 fell 4.1% from election day until December 12, when the Supreme Court ruled on the election between George Bush and Al Gore. (1) 

Investing involves risks, and your goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance should be what drives any changes to your portfolio strategy. If you’re concerned that the upcoming election may change one of these critical factors, perhaps it's time to review your investment approach.

Regardless of who sits in the white house – business marches to it’s own drummer. Throughout history it has been better to be invested in the optimism of what is going to be created in 5, 10 and 20 years, and not who the president is going to be for the next 4.

In the news and in our social circles we are constantly being told how much we should care about the impact elections are going to have on business . The impact will be there to some extent - sentiment may shift, tax policy may shift, trade policy may shift. But in the long run US ingenuity, entrepreneurship, and the sheer force of creative people getting up and going to work everyday, that’s what’s going to push us forward.

Now is a good time to reflect on a quote from legendary investor Warren Buffett, who reminds us, “The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.”

 

Citations

1. HartfordFunds, 2020

Two Factors Leading to a Recovery (Clip from our recent virtual event)

TWO FACTORS LEADING TO A RECOVERY

1) Governmental Decisions.

2) Consumer Behavior.

In case you missed it! Here's a clip from our recent virtual event: Elections, Trade and Economy - in our "New Normal". Nationally acclaimed economist, Dr. Chris Kuehl discusses the lasting impact to our current recession and the 2 Factors leading to a recovery.

New to Gilbert & Cook!

PHOTOGRAPHED FROM LEFT TO RIGHT:  Lisa McCubbin - Relationship Manager & Jessi Swaim, CFP® - Associate Advisor

PHOTOGRAPHED FROM LEFT TO RIGHT: Lisa McCubbin - Relationship Manager & Jessi Swaim, CFP® - Associate Advisor

We are pleased to announce that Lisa McCubbin and Jessi Swaim have joined our Gilbert & Cook family!


Introducing Lisa McCubbin

In the role of Relationship Manager, Lisa serves as a direct contact for her clients to answer questions, while conducting client specific tasks and assisting the Advisor in helping clients and families achieve their goals.

Prior to joining Gilbert & Cook, Lisa worked in the financial services industry, both managing and supporting long-standing client relationships.

Lisa and her husband, Marc, live in Windsor Heights and enjoy spending time with their grandkids.


Introducing Jessi Swaim, CFP®

As an Associate Advisor, Jessi works alongside the Lead Advisor to help her clients and their families meet their financial goals.

Prior to joining our team, Jessi was a Financial Planner in the Des Moines area and obtained the Certified Financial Planner designation in 2017.

Jessi graduated from the University of South Carolina and played Varsity soccer. Active in her community, Jessi is formerly a Board Member of the National Association of Insurance & Financial Advisors - Iowa.

Jessi and her dog, Jada, live in West Des Moines. In her free time, she enjoys being outdoors, watching sports and spending time with friends.

Q&A: Value vs. Growth Stocks, from a Value Manager Perspective

Below is an excerpt from our recent webinar, "Value vs. Growth", originally aired on September, 22nd 2020 - featuring Metin Akyol, Ph.D, CFA, Data Scientist at Zacks Investment Management.

Did you miss the original video? Click here to watch.


Historically, the average investor significantly underperforms the market – Why?

The reason investors tend to underperform is simple: the average investor works without a disciplined system, and he/she allows emotions or behavioral biases to drive investment decisions.

Sometimes investors become overconfident and misjudge risk. Other times they latch onto a price target or think they have identified a pattern that isn’t there. Whatever the case, the emotional decisions that result often lead to suboptimal investment outcomes. This is often referred to as the “behavior gap,” which can be catastrophic to retirement planning.

How to we overcome our investor biases?

Stay the course! Trying to time the market, means increasing the probability that you won’t be invested on big “up” days. And if stock market history tells us anything, it’s that there are a lot of up days.

With that stretch in outperformance in Growth/Technology stocks, are Value Managers stretching their parameters a little bit, in where they go hunting for their value names?

Zack’s Investment Management has not changed it’s parameters and will stay true to their process. Particularly in their dividend strategy, they are not changing their process because volatility and exposure pullback is expected.

Is there anything that you see in the overall evaluation of the market that would lead you to a more muted expected return over the next 5-10 years?

Not necessarily. History shows us that in the long-run, value stocks typically outperform growth stocks, because they are cheaper and stand the test of time. Recently however, the Growth space has taken off due to the overall dominance of the technology sector.

It is important to remember, when you are looking into performance, that it’s not just a difference of “Value vs. Growth” approach, but also a matter of which stocks are overly represented in each classification.

“Value” stocks are represented heavily in the energy and financial sector.

“Growth” space consists of an over-weight of technology businesses. Lately, the overall dominance of the tech sector drives a lot of what we’re seeing in growth.

Ultimately, we are expecting a convergence in the long-run of the growth and value sectors, due to an increased adaption of technology in the other sectors.

We have seen this before and the important thing to remember is that, in the long-run, short-term performance is not a reliable predictor for what you expect in the future. Instead, rely on the long-term investment plan your Advisor has put in place.

Understanding Social Security Benefits

When planning for your financial future, decisions around claiming Social Security benefits can be one of the most important financial considerations. We often hear questions from clients, and prospective clients alike, regarding their Social Security benefits.

When’s the best time to take my benefit?

Should I take it as early as possible or wait until I’m 70?

First, let's review how Social Security came to be, how we make decisions with clients on their Social Security benefit, and look into the future for the Social Security program as a whole.

In 1935, the Social Security Act was signed into law. This program was created in response to the Great Depression and providing some sort of an income stream to retired workers 65 and older. It should be noted that the life expectancy at birth in 1930 was only 58 for men and 62 for women. Increases in life expectancy are a factor in the long-range financing of Social Security; but other factors, such as the sheer size of the "baby boom" generation, and the relative proportion of workers to beneficiaries, are larger determinants of Social Security's future financial condition.

Here's a look at how life expectancy has changed over the years and how it originally impacted the development of the Social Security Act.

Over the years, there have been various amendments that have transformed the program into what it is today. Changes such as added benefits for spouses and minor children, benefits for disabled individuals, cost of living adjustments on payments, and the creation of Medicare in 1965. Today, one in seven Americans receive some form of Social Security, and when looking towards the retirement benefit specifically, it’s not inconceivable for individuals to receive a benefit for 20-plus years in retirement.

As we discuss Social Security benefits with our clients, there’s much more to the conversation than originally meets the eye. We begin by sitting down and getting a better understanding of their overall situation, including retirement goals and any additional thoughts and concerns.

We walk through various topics such as:

  • What benefits are they entitled to (personal, spousal or ex-spousal, etc.)

  • Family medical history and their own personal health situation

  • Their investment accounts and assets

  • Their income sources in retirement such as pensions and employment income (if someone decides to work while receiving benefits, we discuss how benefits may be reduced because of income)

  • Spending desires/needs in retirement.

Considering the specific situation of each individual, we can begin to analyze the optimal time to begin receiving their benefit. We ultimately visit with the client to find the Social Security strategy they’re most comfortable with and walk them through what they can expect with their payments (tax withholdings, Medicare premiums, etc.).

Will the Social Security program last until I retire?

One concern we hear from younger clients is regarding the program’s longevity and the benefits they’ll receive. With the number of retiree’s claiming their benefits rising and fewer people paying into the program, we certainly understand, but do want to reduce some of that concern.

As of right now, the Social Security Board of Trustees projects that due to increasing costs, by 2037 the program’s cash reserves will be depleted and payroll taxes will only be able to cover 75% of the scheduled benefits going forward. With this in mind, we do see changes coming for Social Security and feel those changes will mirror those made back in the 1980s: increasing the retirement age for individuals born after a certain age, changes to the payroll tax rate, and slightly reduced benefits. As we move into the future, this is certainly something we will continuously monitor and work to navigate through together with clients.

If you have any questions regarding your personal financial situation, please don't hesitate to call a member of our Gilbert & Cook team at 515.270.6444 or email info@gilbertcook.com

Gilbert & Cook is named US Top 300 Registered Investment Advisors in 2020 by the Financial Times

FT 300 Logo.JPG

Gilbert & Cook is honored to announce that we have been named one of the Top 300 Registered Investment Advisors in 2020 by the Financial Times!

The list recognizes elite advisors and independent RIA (Registered Investment Advisor) firms from across the United States. The FT 300 represents an elite group segmented by state, rather than a competitive ranking of one to 300.

Breadth of service is a key theme in this year’s list, with many advisers managing retirement planning, tax management, philanthropy and other aspects of clients’ financial lives beyond just investments. Read more about this honor on the FT.com


Disclosure: The Financial Times 300 Top Registered Investment Advisers is an independent listing produced annually by Ignites Research, a division of Money-Media, Inc., on behalf of the Financial Times (July 2020). The FT 300 is based on data gathered from RIA firms, regulatory disclosures, and the FT’s research. The listing reflected each practice’s performance in six primary areas: assets under management, asset growth, compliance record, years in existence, credentials and online accessibility. Over 750 qualified firms applied for the award, 300 of which were selected (40%). This award does not evaluate the quality of services provided to clients and is not indicative of the practice’s future performance. Neither the RIA firms nor their employees pay a fee to The Financial Times in exchange for inclusion in the FT 300.

What do all those letters mean?

Megan Rosenstiel, is interviewed by Steve Dinnen, DSM Wealth

Below is an excerpt from the article, originally published on July 2nd 2020. Read the full article from DSM Wealth (Here).


Meet Megan Rosenstiel, CFP and partner at West Des Moines-based financial advisory firm Gilbert & Cook. The CFP stands for certified financial planner, which is common in her field. But there’s more, as she also is a CDFA, an AWMA, an ADPA and a LTCP.


What’s going on with this run on the alphabet?


All these initials might seem confusing, or even meaningless, to an outsider. But if you want your adviser to be as skilled as is possible, look at each of these abbreviations as shorthand for a particular postgraduate expertise that they have acquired to serve you better. Each abbreviation stands for a subset of skills that has added on to the CFP designation that, as Rosenstiel says, "is the cornerstone" to competent financial planning.


Rosenstiel joined Gilbert & Cook nearly 15 years ago, and decided after earning the CFP, as well as securities sales licensing (series 7, 66, etc.), that other topics demanded her attention as well.

"How can I educate myself better?" she asked herself, responding with an ADPA—accredited domestic partnership adviser. That was before same-sex marriages were made legal, so she found herself at the forefront of working with domestic partners on topics such as apportioning out retirement plans.


Over time, Rosenstiel also chased down specialization as a Certified Divorce Financial Analyst (CDFA), a long-term care professional (LTCP) and as an accredited wealth management adviser (AWMA).

Read the full article from DSM Wealth (Here).

Confidence in a Crisis

Below is a summary of our recent webinar, "Confidence in a Crisis", originally aired on May 5th, 2020. The Gilbert & Cook team shares insight on the current economic state and explore some financial and investment opportunities. Even though we are in uncertain times, we believe that you still have choices and we believe in finding confidence in those opportunities. Please know that every situation is unique and we encourage you to speak with your Advisor regarding your individual situation. 


The Corona-virus Aid, Relief and Economic Security (CARES) Act

Recently the $2.2 trillion CARES Act was signed into law in hopes of helping those most impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. This brings far-reaching implications for both families and businesses, as well as many opportunities and planning strategies to consider.

Increased Charitable Deductions:

As you might expect, charities are in great need. Charitable donations of cash up to $300 may be as an "above-the-line" deduction when determining your Adjusted Gross Income ("AGI") in 2020. The Act also provides for higher limits (in calendar year 2020) for cash contributions by taxpayers who itemize deductions.

Individual taxpayers will be allowed to deduct cash donations up to 100% of their 2020 AGI - that is up from the limit of 60% in previous (and subsequent) tax years. Corporate taxpayers will by allowed to deduct up to 25% of their taxable income in 2020 - up from 10% in previous years. One caveat here is that the increased limit does not apply to donations to private foundations or donor advised funds - AND to use the increased limits your contributions must be made in cash, directly to the charity.

Qualified Charitable Distributions

Another popular strategy that has often been considered is a Qualified Charitable Distribution ("QCD"). This year, however, you may need to rethink that strategy. Due to the unlimited charitable deduction allowed for cash gifts, IRA holders can utilize cash distributions from their IRAs and give the proceeds to their favorite charity. If you are itemizing deductions for income tax purposes, you can deduct this charitable distribution (subject to reductions in total itemized deduction based on your level of AGI). This may result in a much larger deduction available than in years past, (which was limited to $100,000 (QCDs from IRA accounts)). This may be the only year this strategy can be utilized. We encourage you to talk to your tax preparer and Advisor to determine what strategy is right for you.

 Retirement Plan Distributions

Those who have inherited either 401k or IRA accounts in the past will not be required to take distributions in 2020 under the CARES Act. Additionally, if you would have normally had a Required Minimum Distribution ("RMD") from a retirement account in 2020, those have also been suspended for 2020. RMDs are the distributions that you are required to take from your qualified retirement accounts and IRAs at age 72 (formerly age 70 1/2 prior to the SECURE Act passed at the end of 2019). Many people use these retirement plan distributions for their day-t0-day cashflow, while others have just had to deal with the required distributions as part of their annual personal tax planning. Again, every situation is different so please consult with a qualified tax professional if you have questions about your specific tax situation.

Prior to the CARES Act, if you were under the age of 59½, typically you paid a 10% penalty to take a withdrawal from a retirement account. In calendar year 2020, however, if you are under 59½ AND affected by COVID-19 (specific requirements in the Act must be met), those withdrawal penalties are waived for distributions up to $100,000 (or 100% of your account, if less). Keep in mind that you will still be required to pay income tax on the withdrawal amount, just the 10% early withdrawal penalty is waived. Note: There are also provisions that the withdrawals will not be taxed IF the amounts are returned to the retirement account(s) within specific time-frames. Again, consult with your tax advisor as it relates to your personal tax and financial picture. 


Timely Tax & Investment Strategies

Tax Loss Harvesting

You may have heard the saying, “when the market is down, you don’t lose any money until you sell the investment and recognize the loss.” So why would you want to sell at a loss?

We are NOT recommending that investors get out of the market. We always challenge investors to think about investment strategies that may be beneficial for their overall individual tax and financial situations.

Tax Loss Harvesting occurs when selling a security at a price less than you paid for it in order to use the recognized loss to offset other recognized gains and/or ordinary income for the current or future tax year. Harvested capital losses can be used to offset capital gains later in the year or possibly decrease your other taxable income (up to $3,000 per year). Any net capital losses (over the $3,000 annual maximum that can be used against ordinary income) can be carried forward to future years. It is important to 1) consider the financial plan you and your Advisor have put into place; 2) review your specific portfolio; and 3) see if there are some losses that it makes sense to harvest. Once again, we encourage you to talk with your Advisor and tax professional to see what is best for you.  

Roth IRA Conversions

What is a Roth Conversion? Basically, it is when you take money out of your traditional IRA and move it into a Roth IRA. In doing that, you are trading tax deferred dollars inside your traditional IRA for completely tax-free growth and tax-free withdrawals in the future in a Roth IRA. As the original account owner, you are not required to take RMDs from Roth IRAs, and the Roth IRA is a great legacy asset to leave for the next generation(s).

There are tax considerations to keep in mind, though. You DO have to pay income tax on the value of the assets that you convert from “traditional” to Roth. Although Roth IRA contributions do not provide immediate tax benefits like traditional IRAs, there is more flexibility in the future when it comes to withdrawing the funds and planning for taxes. This could be an opportune time to take advantage of this simple tax strategy (the Roth Conversion). Be sure, however, to consult with your tax advisor to determine your specific income tax implications.

Frontloading Contributions

If you are a long-term investor, there can be some good opportunities when the market is down. We have encouraged many of our clients to make their annual 401(k) or IRA contributions while the market is down (thereby providing an opportunity to buy into portfolios at a lower cost).


How to Keep Score During COVID-19

As we started into the economic understanding of this pandemic just two months ago, the world had three big, real-time scoreboard numbers that everyone was watching: 1) the number of new COVID-19 cases; 2) initial unemployment claims; and 3) the stock market. And ALL the numbers were bad! We are still getting constant doses of “Breaking News” and the latest stock market fluctuations. Since our March article, “What Turns a Healthcare Crisis into a Financial Crisis”, we’ve seen the following play out: forced shelter in place, forced business shutdowns, business revenue loss, job loss, economic contraction, debt and rent delinquencies, state and local governments strained, etc.

So, let’s call it what it is, the US is in the midst of a recession. We were due, after the longest run in history of uninterrupted economic expansion. Recessions, as a matter of course, are normal parts of the economic cycle. However, we couldn’t have predicted a recession due to a forced closure of vast parts of the economy due to a global pandemic. So how bad is this recession compared to others?

Gross Domestic Product (GCP)

In the 1st Quarter of 2020, it was reported that US goods and services were down -1.2%. That of course is -4.8% on an annualized basis – which is the reported number for the headlines. Estimates now for the 2nd quarter – April, May, June – are worse yet. Depending on how quickly the economy reopens, probably down somewhere between 20 – 30% on an annualized basis. That would mean that in the first two quarters of the year, the GDP would have contracted somewhere between 6-9%.

To put that into perspective, the entire 2008-2009 contraction was -4%. And it took six quarters to play out. The first half of 2020 will be a number that, most likely, far surpasses that. From a single quarter perspective, if we hit the 6-9% contraction level in the second quarter, we are basically retracing our steps to 2016 GDP levels. 

Bear Market Drawdown and Recovery

From the highpoint on February 19th, to down -34% on March 23rd took 23 trading days. Let’s look at how quickly, and compressed, that market recovered so far. On May 5th, we are up more than 28% from that bottom - a very compressed recovery time of only six weeks. So, what happened? The government has stepped in and provided various supports for our economy, including bond market backstops and the CARES Act as mentioned above.

The US Stock Market is a regenerating, rejuvenating mechanism. After a financial crisis, we find that opportunities emerge, and new ideas replace the old. The economic world is always evolving and adapting, and the stock market is the best way to participate in that. As investors, we have to be focused on the long-term nature of the market. If the recovery takes longer than expected, the markets will likely react negatively. We will need to be patient in terms of our expectations for stocks and GDP output. 

Resetting Expectations

As we look at our current economic situation, we must reset our future expectations upward. 2020 saw Gilbert & Cook start the year with relatively conservative stock and bond expectations. We were at historic highs in the stock market and historic lows in interest rates. We will admit, we did not anticipate a pandemic and recession in 2020. But given that, all stock categories and debt categories (except US Treasuries) now have better long-term expectations from where we sit today. In this pullback, we do hit a reset button to some degree. In periods of crisis and downside like this, it is not the correct time to stray from the long-term financial plan we have put into place.

Keeping Score

Initial jobless claims are a score-keeping mechanism for the economic downtown and recovery. Since the shutdown at the beginning of the COVID-19 crisis, in the last six weeks we’ve seen 30 million people file for initial unemployment claims at their state's unemployment office.

What we truly believe here is that those jobs are not gone – they are in hibernation. Out of isolation – when safe, those workers will return to their jobs and businesses will once again be back near full-capacity. Part of the government stimulus program increased weekly unemployment benefits. In most states, the additional stimulus makes the average replacement wage equal or greater than 100%. Therefore, the impact to individual households will be much more tolerable than in previous economic crises. We are more focused at this time on the number of continuing unemployment claims. In just the last 2 weeks, we saw more workers going back to work than the number of new claims filed.

Risks

The sole villain in this drama is the Coronavirus itself. If you eliminate that enemy, you see the markets react very positively. The risks are:

  • A virus relapse causing the economic resuscitation taking longer than anticipated. How much uncertainty will people tolerate? As we go back to work, are we willing to trade possible loss of life? Will the country go back to work, or will there be a fear of further contamination? A recovery is dependent on bringing jobs and consumers back out of hibernation and reinvigorate the economy as quickly and as safely as possible.

  • Dividend Payouts – Certain providers in energy, retail, and real estate sectors are cutting their dividend payouts. 

Opportunities

Know yourself as an investor. The stock market will reinvent and regenerate itself. Lean into your Gilbert & Cook team to help you know your course and follow your plan.

We believe that American ingenuity and resilience will persevere. The world health and science communities are smarter and better funded than at any time in history. Ever.

We believe the debate is around when the virus will end, not if. And that COVID-19 is the only enemy. If the virus is contained then all those other issues that we are talking about will begin to dissipate.

We believe that life after the virus will be different. In the same way that 9/11 changed our way of life forever, this pandemic may also. But we will figure it out. And every day, all across the world - people get up, they go to work, and they make the lives of their families and communities better. 

Be safe & healthy. Please reach out to your Gilbert & Cook family if there is anything that you need.


Disclosure: This event is for informational purposes only. Gilbert & Cook, Inc. does not offer tax or legal advice. You should consult with an attorney for legal advice and a qualified tax professional for tax advice. Gilbert & Cook, Inc. is a Registered Investment Adviser. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Gilbert & Cook, Inc. and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. No advice may be rendered by Gilbert & Cook, Inc. unless a client service agreement is in place.

Confidence in a Crisis - A Virtual Event with Gilbert & Cook, Inc.

Thoughtful conversation with Founding Partner & Advisor, Linda Cook, CFP® and Chief Investment Strategist, Chris Cook, CPA, CFA. Covering your questions on the current state of the market, what we know about the pandemic impact on the economy, and financial planning strategies and considerations during a crisis. Original Air Date: May 5th 2020

Disclosure: This event is for informational purposes only. Gilbert & Cook, Inc. does not offer tax or legal advice. You should consult with an attorney for legal advice and a qualified tax professional for tax advice. Gilbert & Cook, Inc. is a Registered Investment Adviser. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Gilbert & Cook, Inc. and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. No advice may be rendered by Gilbert & Cook, Inc. unless a client service agreement is in place.

The CARES Act - Q&A

As the world adjusts to a “new normal,” we wanted to share some information with you about the Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security (“CARES”) Act and about how it may impact you and your family. The $2 trillion stimulus package was signed into law on March 27, 2020. This Act brings with it a host of changes for individuals and small businesses in an effort to provide support to our country’s citizens and economy. So, what does the largest relief package in history mean for you? Reach out to your Gilbert & Cook team to learn more about YOUR specific situation, and in the meantime, here are a handful of inquiries that we’ve recently addressed.

Q&A: Below are some questions that we've received and the answers we provided.

2020 REQUIRED MINIMUM DISTRIBUTIONS

With the CARES Act, all Required Minimum Distributions (“RMDs”) for 2020 have been waived and are not required to be taken. This rule applies to all Traditional IRAs, SEPs and Simple IRAs, as well as Employer-Sponsored Plans such as 401(k)s and 403(b)s. Additionally, if you are the beneficiary of an Inherited IRA and have been taking required distributions, this waiver for 2020 applies to you as well. It is important to keep in mind that, as of right now, this waiver only applies to 2020 required distributions. 

Q: What if I’ve already taken my 2020 Required Minimum Distribution? Is there any way to benefit from the CARES Act waiver?

A: If you have already taken your RMD for calendar year 2020 and have no need for it, there are a couple of options available to you.

Option 1: If your RMD withdrawal took place within the last 60 days, you can simply write a check or transfer money in an amount equal to your RMD back into an IRA in your name before the 60-day window closes. The entire transaction would merely be treated as an IRA Rollover that you’re allowed to do once within a 365-day period (“once-per-year rollover rule”).

Option 2: If your RMD withdrawal was very early in the year and you are no longer within the 60-day window, there MAY be another option available to you (although we sincerely hope that no one is able to utilize it). IF YOU QUALIFY (see below), you would be able to utilize a Coronavirus-Related Distribution, which allows qualifying individuals to repay qualifying 2020 distributions within three years (via an IRA Rollover).

Q: What is a Coronavirus-Related Distribution?

A: A Coronavirus-Related Distribution is a distribution of up to $100,000 from a retirement account withdrawn in 2020 by an individual impacted by the Coronavirus in one of the following ways:

  • Personally diagnosed with COVID-19

  • A spouse or dependent is diagnosed with COVID-19

  • Have experienced financial distress due to being quarantined, furloughed, laid off, or had your hours reduced because of the disease

  • Unable to work because you lack childcare as a result of the disease

  • Own a business that has closed or have reduced hours because of the disease

If you qualify for a Coronavirus-Related Distribution (based on the above requirements), you will:

a)    be exempt from the 10% Early Withdrawal Penalty (if you’re under age 59 ½);

b)    not be subject to normal mandatory tax withholding requirements on certain distributions; and

c)     be allowed to spread the tax on any such withdrawal over three years OR the distribution can be repaid within three years (via an IRA Rollover).

Q: I have an Inherited IRA and already took out my RMD for 2020. What options are available to me?

A: If you’ve already taken out your Inherited IRA RMD, unfortunately, there are no options to do a rollover back into any IRA.

Q: Am I still able to utilize a Qualified Charitable Distribution (“QCD”) from my IRA in 2020?

A: Yes. Although you wouldn’t be able to reduce your RMD (because RMD’s don’t apply for 2020), you can still utilize a Qualified Charitable Distribution from your retirement account to make desired charitable contributions and you will not incur income taxes on the QCD amount (nor can you obtain a charitable contributions deduction for the amounts contributed via the QCD).

“RECOVERY REBATE” CHECKS

The CARES Act also provides for “Recovery Rebate” checks (that should be processed in the coming weeks) as an advance payment on a calendar year 2020 tax credit. The Recovery Rebates will be provided to individuals other than a) nonresident aliens; and b) persons for whom a dependency deduction is allowed to another taxpayer. The Recovery Rebates will be tax-free. To be eligible for the advance payment, you must meet certain income requirements (based on your 2019 Adjusted Gross Income (“AGI”) (or 2018 AGI if your 2019 federal Individual Income Tax Return has not yet been filed)) as follows:

  • Single individuals will receive $1,200 if their adjusted gross income is below $75,000. For income between $75,000 and $99,000, there is a phase-out and anyone earning above $99,000, will not receive a check.

  • Married individuals will receive $2,400 if their adjusted gross income is below $150,000. For income between $150,000 and $198,000, there is a phase-out and anyone earning above $198,000, will not receive a check.

  • For each qualifying dependent under age 17, there will be an additional $500 added to your check.

While the Recovery Rebate you should receive in the next few weeks will be based on your 2018 or 2019 AGI, the ultimate tax credit that you will be entitled to under the CARES Act will be based upon your 2020 income, filing status and qualifying dependents.

Q: How will I receive my payment?

A: If you had a bank account attached to your federal tax return, the IRS will simply deposit your payment into that account. If you previously received a refund check in the mail or have not had your bank account attached to your federal tax return, you will either receive a check or may be able to update your banking information with the IRS in the coming weeks.

For those on Social Security, payment should be received in the account in which your Social Security payment is deposited and may be coming with your monthly Social Security check.

Q: What if my adjusted gross income is above the stated income limits in my last return…Will I qualify based on my 2020 income?

A: If you’re in this situation, you will still receive a benefit (via a credit against your 2020 federal taxes) based on your 2020 adjusted gross income. Unfortunately, you won’t receive that benefit now. When you file your 2020 tax return next year, you should receive a credit toward your taxes IF you qualify at that time.

To stay updated on the “Recovery Rebates,” we recommend checking in periodically to this page on the IRS site.

Additional Resources

Gilbert & Cook does not provide legal or tax advise. If you have questions specific to your legal or tax matters, please consult your Attorney or CPA. For additional web-based resources available to assist you in monitoring the spread of the coronavirus on a global basis, you may wish to visit the CDC and the World Health Organization

Please send us any additional question you may have and we will do our best to address them in future newsletters. Thank you again for allowing Gilbert & Cook to help you Live A Life of Abundance. Your Gilbert & Cook team is here for you. Please call us if there is anything that you need.


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About the Author:

Jarret Sheets, CFP®
Associate Advisor

Jarret joined the Gilbert & Cook team as an Associate Advisor in November 2019. In his role as Associate Advisor, Jarret walks alongside the Lead Advisor in helping clients and families achieve their goals.

What Turns a Healthcare Crisis into a Financial Crisis?

By: CHRIS COOK, CPA, CFA
Partner, Chief Investment Strategist

What turns a healthcare crisis into a financial crisis? One word: Solvency

In our opinion, the race to contain the virus is the very same race against time for many large and small businesses around the world. Can those businesses remain solvent until the customers can come back?

Same goes for individual households. If workers and business owners are cut off from their income sources (restaurant workers, hotels, other service industries), how long can they maintain their bills and debts?

The above has very likely turned a slow growing economy to recession. Financial markets have very quickly (less than one month) traded down as if these forward scenarios will come true. Markets have already priced in what has, in the past, been a normal market response to a recession. We knew that stocks especially would have to weather an economic slowdown at some point, they always do. Through March 16th, the S&P 500 is down 30% from its February peak. We did not know what the catalyst of recession would be. Turns out the villain is a communicable virus.

Measures have been taken to both speed up the containment of the virus and slow down the demise of the economy. Hopefully we are all heeding the intelligent advice of our healthcare community. Please do your part.

The government response regarding the economy has been huge and has borrowed some pages out of the ’08-’09 recession playbook. Whether backing commercial paper markets, pledging financial support for key industries, cutting interest rates, delaying tax payment due dates, contemplating a social security payroll tax holiday, or supporting bank liquidity, the Federal Reserve, Treasury, Administration, and Congress are trying to provide defense against those solvency issues. The financial system that provides day-to-day cash for payroll and money markets is simply strained by the sheer volume in the short term. 

Very different than ’08-’09 is that the financial system is not fending off failed mortgage payments across every financial institution. Bank regulations are tighter than 12 years ago as have been lending standards in nearly every consumer and business category. The financial system was much stronger heading into this crisis than at any time in 2007.

The enemy during this war is clear. It scares people when daily life is altered. And during this time, we have taken the biggest and strongest player on the team off the field, the US Consumer, in asking them to sit on the sidelines for most non-essential spending. When coronavirus is ultimately controlled, the reason for behavioral fear and economic stress will be contained with it. With still historically low unemployment and perhaps months of pent up demand, our best player will be back on the field soon with a full head of steam.

Your Gilbert & Cook team is always here for you. Please don’t hesitate to call us if you have any questions or concerns.

Market Insight - March 2020

Brandon Grimm, MBA, CFA

Brandon Grimm, MBA, CFA

Brandon Grimm, Portfolio Manager at Gilbert & Cook provides insights on recession concerns, recent market volatility, and the importance of re-balancing.

There has been much discussion and debate over where we are in this economic cycle. From our perspective, we remain in the latter stages but believe the modest-growth/modest-inflation/low-interest rate environment we have been living with has a good chance of continuing over the course of at least this year. While the probability of a recession occurring at some point in 2020 is not zero, we do believe it is low. However, as I will discuss later, the chances of a recession do appear to be growing as the coronavirus spreads globally and begins to impact global supply chains and consumer confidence. 

Despite those fears, the Gilbert & Cook Investment Team still maintains a positive view on the U.S. economy, as current fundamentals still support a prolonged recovery where unemployment remains low, job growth and wages increase, borrowing costs remain low, and most importantly we see a healthy and confident consumer base. 

We compare this recovery to running a marathon and reiterate our view for investors to remain fully invested according to their diversified, long-term Strategic Asset Allocation. 

Coming off an extraordinary 2019, the stock market continued its upwards trajectory with the S&P 500 Index closing at a record high of 3,386.15 on Thursday, February 19th (up +4.81% YTD). Then last week fear over the Coronavirus (COVID-19) finally gripped investors as both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 index fell over 3% multiple days and ended the week down 12.26% and 11.44% respectively. The daily declines were the largest daily declines in two years and the weekly return was the worst since 2008. With minimal volatility over the past six months, one could argue at least a minor pullback was overdue irrespective of the catalysts. 

As we look at the next few quarters, the real economic impact of the coronavirus will need some time before it is fully understood. In the meantime, fear appears to be driving the markets to price in a major economic impact and even a potential recession. Although we are not comfortable going there yet, we recognize the longer the virus disrupts trade and supply chains, the greater the chance the markets remain at correction territory levels and a subsequent economic recession.

Maybe this time is different….or is it?  We look to history for the answers and similar recent events for context. Over a 38-day trading period during the height of the SARS virus back in 2003, the S&P 500 index fell by 12.8%. During the Zika virus, which occurred at the end of 2015 and into 2016 the market fell by 12.9%.1  As we have pointed out during prior times of stress, the S&P 500 Index has never failed to fully recoup any losses sustained from corrections or bear markets over time. In other words, the stock market and more broadly speaking, the U.S. economy, has proven itself to be quite resilient. Last week’s rather quickly pullback was likely overdone as evidenced by the strong market rebounds on Monday, with various stock indices gaining over 5% on the day. For more perspective on pullbacks and market volatility, reference our Timely Topic from October 25th, 2018 entitled Market Update – “Is this still normal?”.

This does not mean investors should dismiss the outbreak altogether, but rather use these pullbacks as:

1) a time to ensure cash needs are supported, or

2) buying opportunities to re-establish or add to equity exposure if your risk tolerance allows.

Certainly, risks remain, and the duration of the outbreak will determine the near-term impact to the global economy. Revenues and earnings from companies that are highly exposed to China will unquestionably be affected. The longer the virus remains, specifically in China, the greater risk to the global supply chain and ultimately the soundness of economic fundamentals.

In the end, we believe the U.S. is relatively insulated given a strong economy and fantastic health system. Robust job growth and more fiscally responsible consumers continue to provide solid underpinnings in the U.S. Economic data has been strong to start the year and so far, nothing has changed. We suspect that any drop in earnings or economic activity will be short lived, and more than made up for in the year to come.  

Right now is not the time to overreact. Instead, Gilbert & Cook has been proactive in protecting portfolios from events and pullbacks like these during this recovery by regularly re-balancing portfolios. Through the planning process we established a Strategic Asset Allocation which is all about balancing risk and reward given your time horizon and other factors. Regular portfolio re-balancing is a disciplined process to help reduce downside investment risk and ensures that your investments are allocated in line with your financial plan. We continue to focus on investing for the long run and potential short-term disruptions can give investors long-term opportunities.

As we’ve said before; Rely on process, not prediction. The Gilbert & Cook team keeps focus on patience and a long-term perspective.

 

Sources: 1First Trust Advisors L.P.